Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · 21/07, 18:00
Prediction: Sobee Oak vs Mary Boyce Deatherage
Prediction summary
Winner
Sobee Oak
Mary Boyce Deatherage
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sobee Oak
4-6 (W-L)
Mary Boyce Deatherage
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sobee Oak 1518 · Mary Boyce Deatherage 1532
| Sobee Oak | Mary Boyce Deatherage | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sobee Oak makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Sobee Oak | Mary Boyce Deatherage | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11.4 | 12.3-11.3 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 55.2% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 55.9% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sobee Oak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Bianca Ceroni UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Mia Robinson UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 15/07 | Maeve Thornton UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Mayra Gisone UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 12/06 | Jacqueline Soloveychik UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 11/06 | Gabriella Kellner UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Daniela Vidal Romero UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Anna Parkhomenko UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Caroline Manzi UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Mary Boyce Deatherage
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Katie Spencer UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Aya Manning UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Lillie Murphy UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 27/06 | Audrey Aulia UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Sydney Jara UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Ellie Myers UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Calla McGill UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 16/08 | Prisca Abbas UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 15/08 | Jennifer Riester UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sobee Oak vs Mary Boyce Deatherage?
Our model gives 64% to Mary Boyce Deatherage, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.