Tennis · M25 Kramsach · 17/07, 10:00
Prediction: Luca Staeheli vs Vladyslav Orlov
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Staeheli
Vladyslav Orlov
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Staeheli
5-5 (W-L)
Vladyslav Orlov
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Staeheli 1539 · Vladyslav Orlov 1585
| Luca Staeheli | Vladyslav Orlov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vladyslav Orlov (rating 1539 vs 1585).
Statistics
| Luca Staeheli | Vladyslav Orlov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.9-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-8.4 | 12.6-7.8 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 50% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Staeheli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Dennis Andre Dutine M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Matyas Kozlovsky M25 Kramsach |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Jack Loge Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Courtney John Lock Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 01/07 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Abel Hernandez-Aguila Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Vladyslav Orlov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Facundo Yunis M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Nico Hipfl M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Petros Tsitsipas M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Jan Chlodnicki M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Jakub Vrtilka M15 Lodz |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 05/07 | Kalin Ivanovski M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Stefan Popovic M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Petar Jovanovic M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/07 | Obrad Markovski M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Nikola Kolyachev M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Staeheli vs Vladyslav Orlov?
Our model gives 55% to Vladyslav Orlov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.