Tennis · M25 Kramsach · 16/07, 10:00
Prediction: Andrej Martin vs Oskari Paldanius
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrej Martin
Oskari Paldanius
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Andrej Martin
4-6 (W-L)
Oskari Paldanius
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrej Martin 1528 · Oskari Paldanius 1442
| Andrej Martin | Oskari Paldanius | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrej Martin (rating 1528 vs 1442).
- Andrej Martin is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Oskari Paldanius makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Andrej Martin | Oskari Paldanius | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.7 | 10.5-13.4 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 40% | 37.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrej Martin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Florian Zimmer M25 Kramsach |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Henry Bernet Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Samuel Zannoni Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Lorenzo Angelini M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-7 | L |
| 03/07 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Ivan Biletic M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Vito Antonio Darderi M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Adrien Burdet M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Oskari Paldanius
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Daniel Tazabekov M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/06 | Daniel Masur Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Herman Hoeyeraal M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Jonas Kucera M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Peter Makk M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 02/06 | Andrea De Marchi M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Bor Artnak M15 Litija · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 30/04 | Peter Makk M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 28/04 | Iiro Vasa M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrej Martin vs Oskari Paldanius?
Our model gives 68% to Andrej Martin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.