Tennis · M25 Kramsach · 17/07, 10:00
Prediction: Oskari Paldanius vs Theo Papamalamis
Prediction summary
Winner
Oskari Paldanius
Theo Papamalamis
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Oskari Paldanius
6-4 (W-L)
Theo Papamalamis
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oskari Paldanius 1445 · Theo Papamalamis 1573
| Oskari Paldanius | Theo Papamalamis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Theo Papamalamis (rating 1445 vs 1573).
- Theo Papamalamis is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Oskari Paldanius makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Oskari Paldanius | Theo Papamalamis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 13% (8) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-13 | 13-9.3 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 36.4% | 56.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oskari Paldanius
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Andrej Martin M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniel Tazabekov M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/06 | Daniel Masur Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Herman Hoeyeraal M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Jonas Kucera M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Peter Makk M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 02/06 | Andrea De Marchi M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Bor Artnak M15 Litija · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 30/04 | Peter Makk M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
Theo Papamalamis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Petros Tsitsipas M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Lars Aregger M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/07 | William Jansen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 05/07 | Nicolas Parizzia Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Mika Petkovic M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 19/06 | Giammarco Gandolfi M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 18/06 | Giacomo Crisostomo M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oskari Paldanius vs Theo Papamalamis?
Our model gives 66% to Theo Papamalamis, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.