Tennis · ATP Bastad MD · 17/07, 12:30

Prediction: Rojer/Winegar vs Doumbia/Reboul

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Rojer/Winegar Doumbia/Reboul
Estimated games
24.6
Recent form · 10 last
Rojer/Winegar 10-0 (W-L)
WWWWWWWWWW
Doumbia/Reboul 5-5 (W-L)
LLLLWWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rojer/Winegar 1589 · Doumbia/Reboul 1552
Rojer/WinegarDoumbia/Reboul
Our model55%45%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Rojer/WinegarDoumbia/Reboul
Win %80%70%
Win % · Clay 67% (3) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.61.6-0.9
Games (G-P)14.6-11.414.3-11.2
Aces3.21.2
Double faults33
1st serve %75.9%71.9%
Break %62%48%
Estimated total games (ours) 24.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rojer/Winegar

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Arends/Pel
ATP Bastad MD · Clay
2-1 18-14 W
14/07 Drzewiecki/Pieczonka
ATP Bastad MD · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
06/07 Arevalo/Pavic
Wimbledon MD · Grass
1-2 14-18 L
04/07 Nys/Roger-Vasselin
Wimbledon MD · Grass
2-1 20-18 W
02/07 Bhambri/Venus
Wimbledon MD · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
09/05 Nam/Niklas-Salminen
Challenger Wuxi MD · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
08/05 Ayeni/Smith
Challenger Wuxi MD · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
07/05 Matsui/Santillan
Challenger Wuxi MD · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
06/05 Sun/Zeng
Challenger Wuxi MD · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
01/05 Noguchi/Sun
Challenger Jiujiang MD · Clay
1-2 20-21 L

Doumbia/Reboul

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Johansson/Slavic
ATP Bastad MD · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
16/07 Johansson/Slavic
ATP Bastad MD · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
15/07 Kiger/Stalder
ATP Bastad MD · Clay
2-0 13-5 W
08/07 Krawietz/Puetz
Wimbledon MD · Grass
0-2 11-14 L
05/07 Gille/Verbeek
Wimbledon MD · Grass
2-0 13-8 W
04/07 Kopriva/Pieczonka
Wimbledon MD · Grass
2-1 15-11 W
02/07 Kirkov/Stevens
Wimbledon MD · Grass
2-1 15-14 W
28/05 Machac/Vocel
French Open MD · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
23/05 Krawietz/Puetz
ATP Hamburg MD · Clay
1-2 17-20 L
22/05 Schnaitter/Wallner
ATP Hamburg MD · Clay
2-1 22-15 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rojer/Winegar vs Doumbia/Reboul?

Our model gives 56% to Doumbia/Reboul, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.