Tennis · ATP Bastad MD · 16/07, 14:00
Prediction: Rojer/Winegar vs Arends/Pel
Prediction summary
Winner
Rojer/Winegar
Arends/Pel
Estimated games
24.9
Recent form · 10 last
Rojer/Winegar
10-0 (W-L)
Arends/Pel
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rojer/Winegar 1589 · Arends/Pel 1538
| Rojer/Winegar | Arends/Pel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rojer/Winegar (rating 1589 vs 1538).
Statistics
| Rojer/Winegar | Arends/Pel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-10.7 | 14.2-13.6 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 76.5% | 77.7% |
| Break % | 67.3% | 26.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rojer/Winegar
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Drzewiecki/Pieczonka ATP Bastad MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Arevalo/Pavic Wimbledon MD · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 04/07 | Nys/Roger-Vasselin Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 02/07 | Bhambri/Venus Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/05 | Nam/Niklas-Salminen Challenger Wuxi MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/05 | Ayeni/Smith Challenger Wuxi MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/05 | Matsui/Santillan Challenger Wuxi MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/05 | Sun/Zeng Challenger Wuxi MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/05 | Noguchi/Sun Challenger Jiujiang MD · Clay |
1-2 | 20-21 | L |
| 30/04 | Delaney/Shimizu Challenger Jiujiang MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Arends/Pel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Luz/Matos ATP Bastad MD · Clay |
2-1 | 20-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Griekspoor/Van De Zandschulp Wimbledon MD · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Gonzalez/Gonzalez ATP Mallorca MD · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/06 | Bergs/Rinderknech ATP Hertogenbosch MD · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 12/06 | Griekspoor/Van De Zandschulp ATP Hertogenbosch MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Diallo/Hurkacz ATP Hertogenbosch MD · Grass |
2-1 | 21-19 | W |
| 11/06 | Loof/Veldheer ATP Hertogenbosch MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Halys/Herbert French Open MD · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Arevalo/Pavic French Open MD · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 29/05 | Krajicek/Mektic French Open MD · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rojer/Winegar vs Arends/Pel?
Our model gives 50% to Rojer/Winegar, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.