Tennis · M25 Hillcrest · 16/07, 10:00
Prediction: Simphiwe Ngwenya vs Andreas Timini
Prediction summary
Winner
Simphiwe Ngwenya
Andreas Timini
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Simphiwe Ngwenya
3-7 (W-L)
Andreas Timini
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Simphiwe Ngwenya
0–1
Andreas Timini
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Simphiwe Ngwenya 1442 · Andreas Timini 1535
| Simphiwe Ngwenya | Andreas Timini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andreas Timini (rating 1442 vs 1535).
- Head-to-head: Simphiwe Ngwenya 0–1 Andreas Timini (1).
- Note: Andreas Timini makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Simphiwe Ngwenya | Andreas Timini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.5 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.5-10.5 | 9.3-10.1 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 59.1% |
| Break % | 27.2% | 40.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
H2H · Simphiwe Ngwenya 0 – 1 Andreas Timini (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Simphiwe Ngwenya 0–1 Andreas Timini
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/26 M15 Hillcrest | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Simphiwe Ngwenya
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Tom Zeuch M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Andreas Timini M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Dylan Salton M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 8-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Orel Kimhi M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Kris Van Wyk Challenger Centurion Qual · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Marc Van Der Merwe M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Rafael Giotis M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/04 | Giovanni Ciocca M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Marc Van Der Merwe M15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Jesse Flores M15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Andreas Timini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Udit Kamboj M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Vasilios Caripi M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Alec Deckers M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Simphiwe Ngwenya M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/07 | Henry Jefferson M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Devin Badenhorst M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Marko Maksimovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Vadym Ursu M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Essa Qabazard M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Simphiwe Ngwenya vs Andreas Timini?
Our model gives 72% to Andreas Timini, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.