Tennis · M25 Hillcrest · 18/07, 10:00
Prediction: Orel Kimhi vs Giulio Perego
Prediction summary
Winner
Orel Kimhi
Giulio Perego
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Orel Kimhi
6-4 (W-L)
Giulio Perego
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Orel Kimhi 1566 · Giulio Perego 1485
| Orel Kimhi | Giulio Perego | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Orel Kimhi (rating 1566 vs 1485).
- Orel Kimhi is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Orel Kimhi | Giulio Perego | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-7.9 | 8.7-11.3 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 58.3% |
| Break % | 69.8% | 44.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Orel Kimhi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Connor Doig M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/07 | Preston Brown M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Cooper McCarthy M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/07 | Ofek Shimanov M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Allan Gatoto M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Simphiwe Ngwenya M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Philip Henning Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Marc Van Der Merwe Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 31/05 | Michael Zhu Challenger Centurion Qual · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 29/05 | Giles Hussey Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Giulio Perego
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Andreas Timini M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Hugo Pierre M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | James Beaven M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Kris Van Wyk M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Matteo Sciahbasi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Alexandre Reco M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Massimo Giunta M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Alec Beckley M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/05 | Tuncay Duran M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
1-1 | 10-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Orel Kimhi vs Giulio Perego?
Our model gives 67% to Orel Kimhi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.