Tennis · M25 Hillcrest · 17/07, 10:00
Prediction: Andreas Timini vs Giulio Perego
Prediction summary
Winner
Andreas Timini
Giulio Perego
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Andreas Timini
5-5 (W-L)
Giulio Perego
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andreas Timini 1533 · Giulio Perego 1479
| Andreas Timini | Giulio Perego | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andreas Timini (rating 1533 vs 1479).
- Note: Andreas Timini makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Andreas Timini | Giulio Perego | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 0.7-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-9.5 | 8.3-10.7 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 6.1 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 58.3% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 40.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andreas Timini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Simphiwe Ngwenya M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Udit Kamboj M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Vasilios Caripi M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Alec Deckers M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Simphiwe Ngwenya M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/07 | Henry Jefferson M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Devin Badenhorst M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Marko Maksimovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Vadym Ursu M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Giulio Perego
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Hugo Pierre M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | James Beaven M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Kris Van Wyk M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Matteo Sciahbasi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Alexandre Reco M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Massimo Giunta M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Alec Beckley M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/05 | Tuncay Duran M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
1-1 | 10-12 | L |
| 01/05 | Stefan Cooper M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andreas Timini vs Giulio Perego?
Our model gives 52% to Giulio Perego, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.