Tennis · M25 Hillcrest · 16/07, 10:00
Prediction: Ofek Shimanov vs Devin Badenhorst
Prediction summary
Winner
Ofek Shimanov
Devin Badenhorst
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ofek Shimanov
6-4 (W-L)
Devin Badenhorst
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ofek Shimanov
0–1
Devin Badenhorst
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ofek Shimanov 1560 · Devin Badenhorst 1567
| Ofek Shimanov | Devin Badenhorst | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Devin Badenhorst dominates on serve: 8 aces and 46.3% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Ofek Shimanov 0–1 Devin Badenhorst (1).
- Note: Devin Badenhorst makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Ofek Shimanov | Devin Badenhorst | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10.9 | 11.9-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 8 |
| Double faults | 2 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72% | 73.9% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Ofek Shimanov 0 – 1 Devin Badenhorst (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ofek Shimanov 0–1 Devin Badenhorst
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/26 M15 Hillcrest | 0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ofek Shimanov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Jeffrey Strydom M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Khololwam Montsi M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Charlie Robertson M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Preston Brown M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Giovanni Ciocca M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Devin Badenhorst M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Orel Kimhi M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Marc Van Der Merwe M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Chirag Duhan M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/05 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Centurion Qual · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Devin Badenhorst
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Khololwam Montsi M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Khololwam Montsi M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Tom Zeuch M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/07 | Khololwam Montsi M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Ofek Shimanov M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Alec Deckers M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Preston Brown M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Andreas Timini M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Oscar Weightman Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ofek Shimanov vs Devin Badenhorst?
Our model gives 63% to Devin Badenhorst, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.