Prediction: Sara Mikaca vs Mariia Bergen
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Mikaca
Mariia Bergen
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Mikaca
7-3 (W-L)
Mariia Bergen
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sara Mikaca
0–1
Mariia Bergen
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Mikaca 1512 · Mariia Bergen 1480
| Sara Mikaca | Mariia Bergen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Sara Mikaca 0–1 Mariia Bergen (1).
- Note: Sara Mikaca makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Sara Mikaca | Mariia Bergen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-9.6 | 9.6-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 56.8% |
| Break % | 46% | 60.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Sara Mikaca 0 – 1 Mariia Bergen (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sara Mikaca 0–1 Mariia Bergen
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/23 UTR Pro Dubai Women | 1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Mikaca
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Linda Sevcikova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Georgina Groth W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/06 | Laura Mair W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Natalie Barbir W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Lucie Petruzelova W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Stela Dzimovic W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Kaja Najzer W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/05 | Valentina Ivanov W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Jule Niemeier W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/05 | Vittoria Paganetti W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
Mariia Bergen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Stella Jurina W15 Krsko |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/05 | Selina Atay W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/04 | Anna Shkutova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 08/04 | Adithya Karunaratne W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/04 | Liel Marlies Rothensteiner W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 23/11 | Marcelina Podlinska ITF W75 Fujairah |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Fatma Idrizovic UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 12/10 | Daniela Ciobanu UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Natalia P Surmacz UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 03/10 | Milica Stosovic UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Mikaca vs Mariia Bergen?
Our model gives 68% to Sara Mikaca, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.