Tennis · W15 Krsko · 16/07, 10:00
Prediction: Marie Vogt vs Romane Longueville
Prediction summary
Winner
Marie Vogt
Romane Longueville
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Vogt
7-3 (W-L)
Romane Longueville
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marie Vogt 1547 · Romane Longueville 1510
| Marie Vogt | Romane Longueville | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Marie Vogt makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Romane Longueville makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Marie Vogt | Romane Longueville | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-9.2 | 10.3-9.4 |
| Aces | 2 | 1 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 57.8% |
| Break % | 57.1% | 58.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marie Vogt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Maileen Nuudi W15 Krsko |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Merel Hoedt W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Danka Kovinic W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 29/06 | Emma Sophie Glaser W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Antonia Stoyanov W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 20/06 | Lisa Claeys W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Mia Slama W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Kaat Coppez W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Romane Longueville
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Barbara Dessolis W15 Krsko |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 11/07 | Megan Heuser UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/07 | Laurie Barendse UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/07 | Veronika Kliuch UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Kaja Najzer UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Sofiia Mykhailets UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Yara Bartashevich W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Ines Leon W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/06 | Christina Bednarczyk W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Felien Willemse W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marie Vogt vs Romane Longueville?
Our model gives 73% to Marie Vogt, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.