Tennis · W15 Krsko · 19/07, 10:00
Prediction: Marie Vogt vs Ruth Roura Llaverias
Prediction summary
Winner
Marie Vogt
Ruth Roura Llaverias
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Vogt
7-3 (W-L)
Ruth Roura Llaverias
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marie Vogt 1541 · Ruth Roura Llaverias 1540
| Marie Vogt | Ruth Roura Llaverias | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Marie Vogt | Ruth Roura Llaverias | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-8.5 | 11.5-7.4 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 58.5% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marie Vogt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Rose Marie Nijkamp W15 Krsko |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Federica Trevisan W15 Krsko |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Romane Longueville W15 Krsko |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Maileen Nuudi W15 Krsko |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Merel Hoedt W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Danka Kovinic W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 29/06 | Emma Sophie Glaser W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Antonia Stoyanov W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 20/06 | Lisa Claeys W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Ruth Roura Llaverias
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Ziva Falkner W15 Krsko |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Mia Horvit W15 Krsko |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Alja Senica W15 Krsko |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/07 | Tereza Hermanova W15 Krsko |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Diana-Ioana Simionescu W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Neus Torner Sensano W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Lidia Gonzalez W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Defne Cirpanli W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Elina Nepliy W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 17/06 | Fanny Pire W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marie Vogt vs Ruth Roura Llaverias?
Our model gives 57% to Marie Vogt, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.