Prediction: Nala Kovacic vs Maria Andrienko
Prediction summary
Winner
Nala Kovacic
Maria Andrienko
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Nala Kovacic
4-6 (W-L)
Maria Andrienko
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nala Kovacic 1438 · Maria Andrienko 1541
| Nala Kovacic | Maria Andrienko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Andrienko (rating 1438 vs 1541).
- Maria Andrienko is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Nala Kovacic makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Nala Kovacic | Maria Andrienko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 30% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.9-12.2 | 11.4-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 44.7% | 56.4% |
| Break % | 36.9% | 59.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nala Kovacic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06 | Marie Mettraux W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Eva Kaliadina W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Ella Haavisto W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Carolina Dibenedetto W15 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Julia Stamatova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Aleksandra Mateva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/03 | Alina Nesmianovych UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Ipek Oz WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Sylvie Zund ITF W15 Slovenske Konjice · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Maddalena Giordano ITF W15 Slovenske Konjice · Clay |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
Maria Andrienko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Stefanie Auer W15 Krsko |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/07 | Emily Sartz-Lunde W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 03/07 | Nour Sahnoun W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Sofia Camila Rojas W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 01/07 | Talia Neilson Gatenby W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Alyssa Reguer W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 24/06 | Talia Neilson Gatenby W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Yana Kim W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Lucie Pawlak W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 05/06 | Chloe Noel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nala Kovacic vs Maria Andrienko?
Our model gives 74% to Maria Andrienko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.