Tennis · W15 Monastir · 16/07, 09:00
Prediction: Chelsea Fontenel vs Sara Milanese
Prediction summary
Winner
Chelsea Fontenel
Sara Milanese
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Chelsea Fontenel
6-4 (W-L)
Sara Milanese
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chelsea Fontenel 1587 · Sara Milanese 1536
| Chelsea Fontenel | Sara Milanese | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chelsea Fontenel (rating 1587 vs 1536).
Statistics
| Chelsea Fontenel | Sara Milanese | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-7.4 | 9.6-8.5 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 64% |
| Break % | 49.3% | 59.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chelsea Fontenel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Sarah Boussaffir W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/07 | Sofia Camila Rojas W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Aya El Sayed W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Sadjo Coulibaly W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Denise Valente W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Eva Vedder W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Lorena Solar Donoso W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Laia Petretic W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Katherine Sebov W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Sara Milanese
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Emily Sartz-Lunde W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Yasmin Ezzat W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Polina Iatcenko W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 10/06 | Aya El Sayed W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Agata Prepslova W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-0 | W |
| 31/05 | Alena Kovackova W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Vlada Mincheva W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Hala Fouad W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Anna Hsu W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chelsea Fontenel vs Sara Milanese?
Our model gives 68% to Chelsea Fontenel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.