Tennis · W15 Monastir · 16/07, 10:30
Prediction: Marie Villet vs Sofia Camila Rojas
Prediction summary
Winner
Marie Villet
Sofia Camila Rojas
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Villet
5-5 (W-L)
Sofia Camila Rojas
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marie Villet
0–1
Sofia Camila Rojas
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marie Villet 1487 · Sofia Camila Rojas 1583
| Marie Villet | Sofia Camila Rojas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sofia Camila Rojas (rating 1487 vs 1583).
- Sofia Camila Rojas is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Marie Villet 0–1 Sofia Camila Rojas (1).
Statistics
| Marie Villet | Sofia Camila Rojas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.1 | 13.7-10.6 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 54.9% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 59.2% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Marie Villet 0 – 1 Sofia Camila Rojas (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marie Villet 0–1 Sofia Camila Rojas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/26 W15 Monastir | 1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marie Villet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Selima Bendhia W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Tanisha Kashyap W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Sofia Camila Rojas W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Yelyzaveta Chainykova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/06 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Clarissa Gai W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/06 | Doga Turkmen W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 02/06 | Yoana Konstantinova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Ada Kumru W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 24/05 | Alana Subasic W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Sofia Camila Rojas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Amelie Smejkalova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Yuliya Perapekhina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Chelsea Fontenel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Karla Bartel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Tanisha Kashyap W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Amelie Smejkalova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Maria Andrienko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Marie Villet W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 11/01 | Kaya Moe UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/01 | Kate Sharabura UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marie Villet vs Sofia Camila Rojas?
Our model gives 63% to Sofia Camila Rojas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.