Tennis · M25 Kramsach · 15/07, 10:30

Prediction: Luca Staeheli vs Matyas Kozlovsky

Prediction summary
Winner
72% 28%
Luca Staeheli Matyas Kozlovsky
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Staeheli 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWWLLWL
Matyas Kozlovsky 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWWLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Luca Staeheli 1540 · Matyas Kozlovsky 1523
Luca StaeheliMatyas Kozlovsky
Our model52%48%
Market88%12%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Luca StaeheliMatyas Kozlovsky
Win %60%60%
Win % · Clay 60% (10) 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.91.4-1
Games (G-P)12.1-8.810.5-10.3
Aces2.82
Double faults1.33.5
1st serve %67.5%58.5%
Break %45.8%47%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Luca Staeheli

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Jack Loge
Challenger Liege · Clay
1-2 14-16 L
05/07 Courtney John Lock
Challenger Liege · Clay
2-0 12-0 W
01/07 Igor Marcondes
Challenger Troyes · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
30/06 Geoffrey Blancaneaux
Challenger Troyes · Clay
2-1 18-12 W
29/06 Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Challenger Troyes · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
28/06 Abel Hernandez-Aguila
Challenger Troyes · Clay
2-0 12-1 W
09/06 Felix Balshaw
Challenger Lyon · Clay
0-2 11-14 L
08/06 Iliyan Radulov
Challenger Lyon · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
07/06 Geoffrey Blancaneaux
Challenger Lyon · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
29/05 Tito Chavez
M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay
0-2 11-14 L

Matyas Kozlovsky

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/07 Alex Huszar
M25 Kramsach
2-1 12-11 W
05/07 Stepan Mruzek
UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay
1-2 10-15 L
04/07 Theo Coats
UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay
2-1 13-15 W
02/07 Birtan Duran
UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
01/07 Radek Chodora
UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
30/06 Adam Jurajda
UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
29/06 Jan Klimas
UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
10/06 Daniel Dutra Da Silva
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
08/06 Jakub Vrtilka
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
18/05 Jonas Gundacker
M15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay
1-2 9-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Luca Staeheli vs Matyas Kozlovsky?

Our model gives 72% to Luca Staeheli, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.