Tennis · M25 Kramsach · 15/07, 10:30
Prediction: Oskari Paldanius vs Daniel Tazabekov
Prediction summary
Winner
Oskari Paldanius
Daniel Tazabekov
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Oskari Paldanius
5-5 (W-L)
Daniel Tazabekov
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oskari Paldanius 1429 · Daniel Tazabekov 1497
| Oskari Paldanius | Daniel Tazabekov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Tazabekov (rating 1429 vs 1497).
- Daniel Tazabekov is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Oskari Paldanius makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Oskari Paldanius | Daniel Tazabekov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 22% (9) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-14.5 | 9.8-11.5 |
| Aces | 3 | 2 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 34.5% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oskari Paldanius
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Daniel Masur Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Herman Hoeyeraal M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Jonas Kucera M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Peter Makk M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 02/06 | Andrea De Marchi M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Bor Artnak M15 Litija · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 30/04 | Peter Makk M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 28/04 | Iiro Vasa M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/04 | Seydina Andre M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Daniel Tazabekov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Laurens Harnoth Manrubia M25 Kramsach |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 07/07 | Imanol Lopez Morillo M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Nikola Slavic M15 Store |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Tilen Kovac M15 Store |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 27/08 | Simon Reveniau ITF M15 Cap D'Agde · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Itamar Verthaimer ITF M15 Cap D'Agde · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Richard Krizan ITF M15 Cap D'Agde · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/08 | Maxim Zhukov ITF M15 Astana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Ruslan Tiukaev ITF M15 Astana |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Ryotaro Taguchi Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oskari Paldanius vs Daniel Tazabekov?
Our model gives 63% to Oskari Paldanius, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.