Tennis · M25 Hillcrest · 15/07, 09:30

Prediction: Giulio Perego vs James Beaven

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Giulio Perego James Beaven
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Giulio Perego 3-7 (W-L)
WWWLLLLLLL
James Beaven 5-5 (W-L)
LLLWLWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Giulio Perego 1461 · James Beaven 1519
Giulio PeregoJames Beaven
Our model42%58%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours James Beaven (rating 1461 vs 1519).

Statistics

Giulio PeregoJames Beaven
Win %30%50%
Win % · Hard 50% (6) 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.41-1.1
Games (G-P)8.8-128.9-8.5
Aces1.92.3
Double faults1.62.7
1st serve %59.9%70.7%
Break %39.2%62.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Giulio Perego

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Kris Van Wyk
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
24/06 Matteo Sciahbasi
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
14/06 Oriol Roca Batalla
Challenger Parma · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
09/06 Alexandre Reco
M15 Messina · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
02/06 Massimo Giunta
M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
03/05 Alec Beckley
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
02/05 Tuncay Duran
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
1-1 10-12 L
01/05 Stefan Cooper
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
01/05 Stefan Seifert
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
29/04 Marc Van Der Merwe
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
2-1 17-16 W

James Beaven

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/07 Ronan Tashinga Mtisi
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
10/07 Kriish Tyagi
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
09/07 Kris Van Wyk
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
08/07 James Hart
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
06/07 Andreas Scott
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-1 13-11 W
02/07 Khololwam Montsi
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
01/07 Dylan Salton
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
10/06 Tom Zeuch
M15 Vaasa · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
31/05 Charles Broom
Challenger Birmingham · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
08/05 Romain Faucon
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Giulio Perego vs James Beaven?

Our model gives 59% to James Beaven, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.