Tennis · M25 Hillcrest · 15/07, 09:30
Prediction: Henry Jefferson vs Charlie Robertson
Prediction summary
Winner
Henry Jefferson
Charlie Robertson
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Henry Jefferson
4-6 (W-L)
Charlie Robertson
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Henry Jefferson 1533 · Charlie Robertson 1486
| Henry Jefferson | Charlie Robertson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Henry Jefferson (rating 1533 vs 1486).
- Note: Henry Jefferson makes many double faults (4.5/match).
- Note: Charlie Robertson makes many double faults (7.3/match).
Statistics
| Henry Jefferson | Charlie Robertson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.5 | 11.6-12.2 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 7.3 |
| 1st serve % | 74.8% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 56.8% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Henry Jefferson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Arjun Mehrotra M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Andreas Timini M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Khololwam Montsi M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Rocco Piatti M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Ty Host M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Zsombor Velcz M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Jordan Hasson M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 13/06 | Alastair Gray Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/12 | Robert Guna M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 10-12 | L |
Charlie Robertson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Ofek Shimanov M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 10/07 | Alec Deckers M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Ty Host M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Alec Deckers M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/04 | Oliver Okonkwo M15 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/01 | Alan Magadan M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 25/11 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/11 | Alex Knaff Challenger Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/11 | Jan Jermar Challenger Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 22/11 | Toby Samuel Challenger Soma Bay · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Henry Jefferson vs Charlie Robertson?
Our model gives 51% to Henry Jefferson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.