Tennis · M25 Hillcrest · 14/07, 09:30

Prediction: Tom Zeuch vs Simphiwe Ngwenya

Prediction summary
Winner
77% 23%
Tom Zeuch Simphiwe Ngwenya
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Tom Zeuch 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWWLWWLL
Simphiwe Ngwenya 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLWLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tom Zeuch 1491 · Simphiwe Ngwenya 1414
Tom ZeuchSimphiwe Ngwenya
Our model61%39%
Market91%9%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tom Zeuch (rating 1491 vs 1414).

Statistics

Tom ZeuchSimphiwe Ngwenya
Win %40%20%
Win % · Hard 33% (3) 20% (10)
Sets (G-P)1-1.20.4-1.7
Games (G-P)10.8-11.86.2-11.2
Aces3.42
Double faults3.11.6
1st serve %72%59.3%
Break %30.6%33.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tom Zeuch

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Devin Badenhorst
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 11-14 L
26/06 Marvin Moeller
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
1-2 14-19 L
25/06 Max Wiskandt
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
2-0 14-12 W
23/06 Rodrigo Alujas
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
16/06 Markus Malaszszak
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
0-2 9-12 L
12/06 Guillaume Dalmasso
M15 Vaasa · ~Hard
1-2 15-17 L
10/06 James Beaven
M15 Vaasa · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
27/05 Viktor Durasovic
M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
25/05 Philipp Bosse
M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
20/05 Sebastian Gima
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L

Simphiwe Ngwenya

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Andreas Timini
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
06/07 Dylan Salton
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-1 8-8 W
01/07 Orel Kimhi
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
31/05 Kris Van Wyk
Challenger Centurion Qual · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
05/05 Marc Van Der Merwe
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
04/05 Rafael Giotis
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
30/04 Giovanni Ciocca
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
22/04 Marc Van Der Merwe
M15 Pretoria · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
15/04 Jesse Flores
M15 Pretoria · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
16/07 Connor Doig
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tom Zeuch vs Simphiwe Ngwenya?

Our model gives 77% to Tom Zeuch, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.