Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 15/07, 02:00
Prediction: Ford McCollum vs Gabriel Porras
Prediction summary
Winner
Ford McCollum
Gabriel Porras
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Ford McCollum
3-7 (W-L)
Gabriel Porras
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ford McCollum 1464 · Gabriel Porras 1518
| Ford McCollum | Gabriel Porras | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriel Porras (rating 1464 vs 1518).
- Note: Gabriel Porras makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Ford McCollum | Gabriel Porras | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12 | 12.2-11 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ford McCollum
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Robert Yang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 24/05 | Tyler Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/05 | George Hakopian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/05 | Andre Alcantara UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Kaj Quirijns UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 19/05 | Blu Baker UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Aaron Eliscu UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 10/02 | Sklar Phillips UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/02 | Liam Alvarez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/12 | Alessandro-D Ventre UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Gabriel Porras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Winston Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Luca Lo Nardo Davis Cup |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 13/02 | Mason Vaughan UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 13/02 | Manuel Sanchez UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 11/02 | Noey Do UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/02 | James Quattro UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 27/07 | Yubel Ubri UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Avery Zavala UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/07 | Cooper Johnson UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Zsombor Velcz UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ford McCollum vs Gabriel Porras?
Our model gives 57% to Gabriel Porras, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.