Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 22/07, 03:30
Prediction: Finn Willman vs David Duong
Prediction summary
Winner
Finn Willman
David Duong
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Finn Willman
4-6 (W-L)
David Duong
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Finn Willman 1399 · David Duong 1551
| Finn Willman | David Duong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 71% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours David Duong (rating 1399 vs 1551).
- David Duong is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Finn Willman | David Duong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (7) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-12.5 | 14.2-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 57.4% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 34.2% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Finn Willman
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Evan Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Otto Schreiner UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 03/07 | Tomas Quesada Perez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/12 | Preston Brown ITF M15 Tauranga · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/12 | Christian Langmo ITF M15 Hamilton |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/12 | Cody Atkinson ITF M15 Hamilton |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/12 | Kosuke Shibano ITF M15 Hamilton |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Naara Shin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 17/10 | Michael Kaplan UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Karl Kazuma Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
David Duong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | John Patrick Popowich UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 19/07 | Aleksandr Kalinin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Hugo Hashimoto UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Benjamin Berger UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 15/07 | Emmett Potter UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Ivan Savkin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Charlie Underwood UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/06 | Cassius Chinlund UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 26/06 | Benjamin Berger UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Vicente Freda UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Finn Willman vs David Duong?
Our model gives 79% to David Duong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.