Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 23/07, 02:00
Prediction: Evan Lee vs David Duong
Prediction summary
Winner
Evan Lee
David Duong
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Evan Lee
8-2 (W-L)
David Duong
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Evan Lee 1506 · David Duong 1551
| Evan Lee | David Duong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours David Duong (rating 1506 vs 1551).
- Note: Evan Lee makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Evan Lee | David Duong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.6 | 14.2-11.2 |
| Aces | 3 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 6.6 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 38.1% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Evan Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Dev Mangat UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Finn Willman UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Connor Robb-Wilcox UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Douglas Yaffa UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Yashwin Krishnakumar UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/05 | Karl Kazuma Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 16/05 | Adam Bain UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/05 | Liam Alvarez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/05 | Duncan McCall UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
David Duong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Finn Willman UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/07 | John Patrick Popowich UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 19/07 | Aleksandr Kalinin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Hugo Hashimoto UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Benjamin Berger UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 15/07 | Emmett Potter UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Ivan Savkin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Charlie Underwood UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/06 | Cassius Chinlund UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 26/06 | Benjamin Berger UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Evan Lee vs David Duong?
Our model gives 64% to David Duong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.