Tennis · M15 Monastir · 14/07, 11:30
Prediction: Ruslan Serazhetdinov vs Roan Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Ruslan Serazhetdinov
Roan Jones
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ruslan Serazhetdinov
3-7 (W-L)
Roan Jones
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ruslan Serazhetdinov 1444 · Roan Jones 1585
| Ruslan Serazhetdinov | Roan Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roan Jones (rating 1444 vs 1585).
- Roan Jones is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ruslan Serazhetdinov | Roan Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.9-10.5 | 13-8 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.3% | 72.8% |
| Break % | 35.3% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ruslan Serazhetdinov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Logan Zapp M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/03 | Maxim Zhukov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Louis Larue M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/03 | Thantub Suksumrarn M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/01 | Florent Lagarrigue M15 Bagnoles de l'Orne · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-11 | L |
| 18/01 | Alex Blanchar M15 Bagnoles de l'Orne · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 12/01 | Yannick Baluska M15 Bressuire · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 24/11 | Matic Dimic ITF M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/11 | Oges Theyjo Jaya Prakash ITF M25 Luanda Qual · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Roan Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Paul Barbier Gazeu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Egor Pleshivtsev M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Ibrahim Snoussi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
| 07/07 | Giulio Stella M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/01 | Ian Mayew UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 17/01 | Logan Zapp UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/01 | Zen David Uehling UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/01 | Muyang Yi UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 15/01 | Drew Fishback UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/01 | Volodymyr Gurenko UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ruslan Serazhetdinov vs Roan Jones?
Our model gives 80% to Roan Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.