Tennis · M15 Monastir · 16/07, 11:30

Prediction: Alaa Trifi vs Togan Tokac

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Alaa Trifi Togan Tokac
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alaa Trifi 4-6 (W-L)
WWLWLWLLLL
Togan Tokac 8-2 (W-L)
LWWWWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alaa Trifi 1493 · Togan Tokac 1555
Alaa TrifiTogan Tokac
Our model41%59%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Togan Tokac (rating 1493 vs 1555).
  • Note: Alaa Trifi makes many double faults (5.2/match).

Statistics

Alaa TrifiTogan Tokac
Win %50%70%
Win % · Hard 50% (10) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1-1.11.6-0.7
Games (G-P)10.4-10.811.5-6.9
Aces42.8
Double faults5.22.1
1st serve %65.9%72.8%
Break %49.7%46.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alaa Trifi

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Daniel Bagnolini
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 18-16 W
07/07 Jonas Eriksson Ziverts
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
02/07 Toufik Sahtali
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
25/06 Alexander Frusina
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 13-16 L
24/06 Jackson Ross
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
07/05 Maxime Chazal
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
06/05 Mathieu Scaglia
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
02/05 Luca Wiedenmann
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
01/05 Samuele Seghetti
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-0 9-6 W
30/04 Gilberto Ravasio
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W

Togan Tokac

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Arin Pallegar
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 18-12 W
07/07 Andrea Bacaloni
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 8-10 L
01/11 Tomas Pinho
UTR Pro College Station · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
31/10 Gordon Gallagher
UTR Pro College Station · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
30/10 Ethan Silva
UTR Pro College Station · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
29/10 Khololwam Montsi
UTR Pro College Station · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
28/10 Francisco Salmain
UTR Pro College Station · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
19/08 Quintan Vanwijk
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
18/08 Blake Anderson
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
02/08 Christopher Bulus
UTR Pro College Station · Hard
1-2 11-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alaa Trifi vs Togan Tokac?

Our model gives 54% to Togan Tokac, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.