Tennis · M15 Monastir · 17/07, 10:00
Prediction: Alaa Trifi vs Roan Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Alaa Trifi
Roan Jones
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alaa Trifi
3-7 (W-L)
Roan Jones
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alaa Trifi 1497 · Roan Jones 1612
| Alaa Trifi | Roan Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roan Jones (rating 1497 vs 1612).
- Roan Jones is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Alaa Trifi makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Alaa Trifi | Roan Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-10.9 | 11.9-6.4 |
| Aces | 4 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 51.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alaa Trifi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Togan Tokac M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniel Bagnolini M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 07/07 | Jonas Eriksson Ziverts M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Alexander Frusina M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Jackson Ross M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/05 | Maxime Chazal M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Mathieu Scaglia M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/05 | Luca Wiedenmann M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Samuele Seghetti M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-0 | 9-6 | W |
Roan Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Sean Daryabeigi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-0 | 8-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Ruslan Serazhetdinov M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/07 | Paul Barbier Gazeu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Egor Pleshivtsev M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Ibrahim Snoussi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
| 07/07 | Giulio Stella M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/01 | Ian Mayew UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 17/01 | Logan Zapp UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/01 | Zen David Uehling UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alaa Trifi vs Roan Jones?
Our model gives 57% to Roan Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.