Tennis · W15 Krsko · 14/07, 11:30

Prediction: Maria Andrienko vs Stefanie Auer

Prediction summary
Winner
66% 34%
Maria Andrienko Stefanie Auer
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Andrienko 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWLWWWL
Stefanie Auer 3-7 (W-L)
LLWWLLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maria Andrienko 1535 · Stefanie Auer 1449
Maria AndrienkoStefanie Auer
Our model62%38%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Andrienko (rating 1535 vs 1449).
  • Maria Andrienko is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Maria AndrienkoStefanie Auer
Win %60%30%
Win % · Hard 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-10.7-1.4
Games (G-P)11.4-9.86-9.8
Aces0.30.4
Double faults3.43.9
1st serve %55.7%50%
Break %57.6%47.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maria Andrienko

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/07 Emily Sartz-Lunde
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 11-15 L
03/07 Nour Sahnoun
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
02/07 Sofia Camila Rojas
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 17-15 W
01/07 Talia Neilson Gatenby
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 12-9 W
25/06 Alyssa Reguer
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 12-15 L
24/06 Talia Neilson Gatenby
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-5 W
23/06 Yana Kim
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 11-3 W
10/06 Lucie Pawlak
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 9-15 L
05/06 Chloe Noel
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-13 L
04/06 Natalia Sousa Salazar
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Stefanie Auer

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Emma Slavikova
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
1-2 11-13 L
30/06 Terezia Mlkva
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
05/06 Tea Nikcevic
W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
18/05 Emma Lene
W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
12/05 Linda Sevcikova
W15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
05/05 Sarah Iliev
W15 Reichstett · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
04/05 Vivien Sandberg
W15 Reichstett · ~Clay
2-0 9-4 W
03/05 Anja Bianchi
W15 Reichstett · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
13/04 Carlota Martinez Cirez
W75 Portoroz · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
06/01 Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz
W35 Nairobi · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maria Andrienko vs Stefanie Auer?

Our model gives 66% to Maria Andrienko, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.