Prediction: Karolina Mrazikova vs Megan Heuser
Prediction summary
Winner
Karolina Mrazikova
Megan Heuser
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Karolina Mrazikova
7-3 (W-L)
Megan Heuser
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Karolina Mrazikova
1–0
Megan Heuser
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karolina Mrazikova 1543 · Megan Heuser 1403
| Karolina Mrazikova | Megan Heuser | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Karolina Mrazikova (rating 1543 vs 1403).
- Karolina Mrazikova is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Karolina Mrazikova 1–0 Megan Heuser (1).
Statistics
| Karolina Mrazikova | Megan Heuser | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.4-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-8.5 | 6.6-12.8 |
| Aces | 0 | – |
| Double faults | 2.6 | – |
| 1st serve % | 56.4% | – |
| Break % | 46% | – |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Karolina Mrazikova 1 – 0 Megan Heuser (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Karolina Mrazikova 1–0 Megan Heuser
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/26 UTR Pro Olomouc Women | 2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karolina Mrazikova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Nikola Hlavata UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 03/07 | Katarzyna Wysoczanska UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/07 | Georgia Andreea Craciun UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Megan Heuser UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/06 | Tereza Polakova UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/06 | Salma Drugdova W15 Osijek · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Tereza Stepankova W15 Osijek · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/05 | Julia Adams W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/05 | Sofia Barhacova W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 10/05 | Nahia Berecoechea W75 Trnava |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
Megan Heuser
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Romane Longueville UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Victoria Borodulina UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Ginevra Montebruno UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Nikola Hlavata UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Mia Horvit UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Valentina Vachkova UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Katrin Pavkova UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Tereza Polakova UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Karolina Mrazikova UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Katarzyna Wysoczanska UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karolina Mrazikova vs Megan Heuser?
Our model gives 70% to Karolina Mrazikova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.