Tennis · W15 Hillcrest · 15/07, 10:00

Prediction: Onalee Wagner vs Astrid Cirotte

Prediction summary
Winner
29% 71%
Onalee Wagner Astrid Cirotte
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Onalee Wagner 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWLLWLLW
Astrid Cirotte 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Onalee Wagner 1472 · Astrid Cirotte 1523
Onalee WagnerAstrid Cirotte
Our model43%57%
Market19%81%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Astrid Cirotte (rating 1472 vs 1523).
  • Note: Onalee Wagner makes many double faults (6/match).
  • Note: Astrid Cirotte makes many double faults (4.5/match).

Statistics

Onalee WagnerAstrid Cirotte
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 44% (9) 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.4-1.3
Games (G-P)8.6-9.412.4-13
Aces0.91
Double faults64.5
1st serve %60.8%55.9%
Break %45.7%48.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Onalee Wagner

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/07 Lea Dube
W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
06/07 Ekua Youri
W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard
1-2 7-11 L
01/07 Olga Danilova
W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
1-2 11-13 L
29/06 Cara Le Grange
W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
10/06 Laura Boehner
W15 Merzig · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
19/05 Marilouise Van Zyl
W15 Gaborone · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
18/05 Ceressa Jackson
W15 Gaborone · ~Hard
2-1 10-10 W
14/05 Maayan Laron
W15 Gaborone · ~Hard
1-2 8-14 L
13/05 Abhilasha Bista
W15 Gaborone · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
29/04 Danielle Dai Chapman
W15 Mbombela · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Astrid Cirotte

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/07 Jana Hossam Salah
W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard
1-2 12-17 L
10/07 Valentini Grammatikopoulou
W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
09/07 Samaira Pahwa
W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 10-4 W
08/07 Roxy Bredenkamp
W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-1 15-12 W
02/07 Isabella Kruger
W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
1-2 14-17 L
01/07 Virginia Crocker
W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-1 15-14 W
16/06 Despina Papamichail
W75 Blois · ~Clay
1-2 15-17 L
17/04 Victoria Mulville
W15 Pretoria · ~Hard
1-2 14-15 L
15/04 Selina Atay
W15 Pretoria · ~Hard
2-1 17-14 W
07/04 Alicia Dudeney
W75 Calvi · ~Hard
0-2 0-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Onalee Wagner vs Astrid Cirotte?

Our model gives 71% to Astrid Cirotte, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.