Tennis · W15 Hillcrest · 17/07, 10:00
Prediction: Valentina Khrebtova vs Marilouise Van Zyl
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentina Khrebtova
Marilouise Van Zyl
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Valentina Khrebtova
4-6 (W-L)
Marilouise Van Zyl
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentina Khrebtova 1500 · Marilouise Van Zyl 1580
| Valentina Khrebtova | Marilouise Van Zyl | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marilouise Van Zyl (rating 1500 vs 1580).
- Marilouise Van Zyl is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Valentina Khrebtova makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Valentina Khrebtova | Marilouise Van Zyl | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.9 | 12.9-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 53.6% | 55.8% |
| Break % | 59.8% | 57.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentina Khrebtova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Celina Joseph W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Polina Leykina W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Ekua Youri W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Ksenia Smirnova W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Annemarie Lazar UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/05 | Leonie Schuknecht UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/05 | Zejda Veljacic UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/05 | Julie Jirakova UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/05 | Karina Dunda UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Dune Vaissaud W15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Marilouise Van Zyl
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Morgan Jordaan W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Abigayel Vosloo W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Polina Leykina W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Isabella Wong W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 04/07 | Polina Leykina W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Mika Buchnik W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Ashton Bowers W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 01/07 | Michika Ozeki W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 24/05 | Elena Jamshidi W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/05 | Dominika Podhajecka W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentina Khrebtova vs Marilouise Van Zyl?
Our model gives 69% to Marilouise Van Zyl, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.