Tennis · W15 Hillcrest · 17/07, 10:00
Prediction: Ksenia Smirnova vs Astrid Cirotte
Prediction summary
Winner
Ksenia Smirnova
Astrid Cirotte
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Ksenia Smirnova
6-4 (W-L)
Astrid Cirotte
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ksenia Smirnova 1558 · Astrid Cirotte 1549
| Ksenia Smirnova | Astrid Cirotte | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ksenia Smirnova makes many double faults (6.3/match).
- Note: Astrid Cirotte makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Ksenia Smirnova | Astrid Cirotte | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.6-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-8.7 | 13.7-12.4 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 1 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 57.8% | 55.8% |
| Break % | 58.2% | 57.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ksenia Smirnova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Dominika Podhajecka W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Emma Van Poppel W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-0 | W |
| 11/07 | Polina Leykina W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Isabella Kruger W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Danielle Dai Chapman W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Dominika Podhajecka W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Jenny Duerst W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Nelise Verster W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Valentina Khrebtova W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Astrid Cirotte
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Gloria Pop W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Onalee Wagner W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 11/07 | Jana Hossam Salah W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 10/07 | Valentini Grammatikopoulou W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Samaira Pahwa W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Roxy Bredenkamp W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Isabella Kruger W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Virginia Crocker W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Despina Papamichail W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 17/04 | Victoria Mulville W15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ksenia Smirnova vs Astrid Cirotte?
Our model gives 51% to Ksenia Smirnova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.