Tennis · W15 Hillcrest · 15/07, 10:00
Prediction: Polina Leykina vs Valentina Khrebtova
Prediction summary
Winner
Polina Leykina
Valentina Khrebtova
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Polina Leykina
10-0 (W-L)
Valentina Khrebtova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polina Leykina 1668 · Valentina Khrebtova 1495
| Polina Leykina | Valentina Khrebtova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 27% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Polina Leykina (rating 1668 vs 1495).
- Polina Leykina is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Note: Valentina Khrebtova makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Polina Leykina | Valentina Khrebtova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-6.2 | 9.6-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 53.6% |
| Break % | 67.8% | 63.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polina Leykina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Jana Hossam Salah W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Ksenia Smirnova W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Jenny Duerst W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Marilouise Van Zyl W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Abigayel Vosloo W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Jenny Duerst W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Marilouise Van Zyl W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/07 | Donna Le Roux W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Jahnie Van Zyl W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Kei Yau Cheung W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Valentina Khrebtova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Ekua Youri W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Ksenia Smirnova W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Annemarie Lazar UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/05 | Leonie Schuknecht UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/05 | Zejda Veljacic UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/05 | Julie Jirakova UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/05 | Karina Dunda UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Dune Vaissaud W15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Ashmitha Easwaramurthi W15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/05 | Abigail Wheeler W15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polina Leykina vs Valentina Khrebtova?
Our model gives 81% to Polina Leykina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.