Tennis · M25 Kramsach · 14/07, 10:30

Prediction: Daniel Siniakov vs Manuel Plunger

Prediction summary
Winner
74% 26%
Daniel Siniakov Manuel Plunger
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Siniakov 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWWLLWW
Manuel Plunger 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWWWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Daniel Siniakov 1550 · Manuel Plunger 1495
Daniel SiniakovManuel Plunger
Our model58%42%
Market88%12%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Siniakov (rating 1550 vs 1495).
  • Note: Daniel Siniakov makes many double faults (5/match).

Statistics

Daniel SiniakovManuel Plunger
Win %70%60%
Win % · Clay 71% (7) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.91.2-0.9
Games (G-P)13.3-10.610.6-10.5
Aces5.32.5
Double faults52.9
1st serve %70.8%69.2%
Break %44.5%36.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Daniel Siniakov

WLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/07 Adrian Oetzbach
M25 Kassel
1-2 15-15 L
09/07 David Fix
M25 Kassel
2-0 12-5 W
08/07 Calvin Mueller
M25 Kassel
2-1 17-10 W
05/07 Max Wiskandt
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
04/07 Michel Hopp
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
03/07 Saba Purtseladze
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
2-0 14-12 W
02/07 Leonardo Rossi
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
01/07 Oleksii Krutykh
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
2-1 15-13 W
15/06 Florian Broska
Challenger Poznan · Clay
1-2 13-14 L
15/06 Benjamin Hassan
Challenger Poznan · Clay
2-1 16-11 W

Manuel Plunger

WLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/06 Matthew William Donald
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
24/06 Lorenzo Berto
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
17/06 Niklas Schell
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
28/05 Matthew William Donald
M25 Grado · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
26/05 Giammarco Gandolfi
M25 Grado · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
19/05 Peter Fajta
M15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay
1-2 8-15 L
17/11 Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros
ITF M25 Manzanillo
2-0 12-5 W
15/11 Rodrigo Alujas
ITF M25 Manzanillo
2-0 13-8 W
15/11 Rafael De Alba
ITF M25 Manzanillo
2-1 18-14 W
13/11 Maxwell McKennon
ITF M25 Manzanillo
1-0 12-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Daniel Siniakov vs Manuel Plunger?

Our model gives 74% to Daniel Siniakov, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.