Tennis · M25 Kramsach · 14/07, 10:30
Prediction: Daniel Siniakov vs Manuel Plunger
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Siniakov
Manuel Plunger
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Siniakov
7-3 (W-L)
Manuel Plunger
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Siniakov 1550 · Manuel Plunger 1495
| Daniel Siniakov | Manuel Plunger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Siniakov (rating 1550 vs 1495).
- Note: Daniel Siniakov makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Daniel Siniakov | Manuel Plunger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-10.6 | 10.6-10.5 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 5 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 44.5% | 36.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Siniakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Kassel |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/07 | David Fix M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Calvin Mueller M25 Kassel |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Michel Hopp M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Saba Purtseladze M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Leonardo Rossi M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Oleksii Krutykh M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 15/06 | Florian Broska Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 15/06 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Manuel Plunger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Matthew William Donald M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Lorenzo Berto M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Niklas Schell M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Matthew William Donald M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Giammarco Gandolfi M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Peter Fajta M15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 17/11 | Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros ITF M25 Manzanillo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/11 | Rodrigo Alujas ITF M25 Manzanillo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/11 | Rafael De Alba ITF M25 Manzanillo |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 13/11 | Maxwell McKennon ITF M25 Manzanillo |
1-0 | 12-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Siniakov vs Manuel Plunger?
Our model gives 74% to Daniel Siniakov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

