Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 14/07, 03:30
Prediction: Gabriel Porras vs Winston Lee
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriel Porras
Winston Lee
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriel Porras
6-4 (W-L)
Winston Lee
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriel Porras 1547 · Winston Lee 1474
| Gabriel Porras | Winston Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriel Porras (rating 1547 vs 1474).
- Gabriel Porras is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Gabriel Porras makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Gabriel Porras | Winston Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10.8 | 8.2-11.2 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 58.8% |
| Break % | 45.9% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriel Porras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06 | Luca Lo Nardo Davis Cup |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 13/02 | Mason Vaughan UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 13/02 | Manuel Sanchez UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 11/02 | Noey Do UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/02 | James Quattro UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 27/07 | Yubel Ubri UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Avery Zavala UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/07 | Cooper Johnson UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Zsombor Velcz UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Aryan Badlani UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Winston Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06 | Soma Fukuhara UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/06 | Riku Nakamoto UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/06 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Shion Itsusaki UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 22/02 | Farzan Amiri UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/02 | Paris Pouatcha UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/02 | Benjamin Berger UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 19/02 | Noah Zamora UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/02 | Lucas Hammond UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/12 | Emon Van Loben Sels UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriel Porras vs Winston Lee?
Our model gives 55% to Gabriel Porras, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.