Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 14/07, 02:00

Prediction: Benjamin Sparks vs Pavel Bushuev

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Benjamin Sparks Pavel Bushuev
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Sparks 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLWLWWWL
Pavel Bushuev 2-8 (W-L)
LLWLLLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Benjamin Sparks 1524 · Pavel Bushuev 1512
Benjamin SparksPavel Bushuev
Our model52%48%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Benjamin SparksPavel Bushuev
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.2-0.91.1-1.4
Games (G-P)10.8-8.511.6-12.1
Aces1.85.5
Double faults2.13.9
1st serve %68.1%69.3%
Break %55.6%46.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Benjamin Sparks

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/06 Cesar Cruz
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
11/06 Donald Hall
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
10/06 Antreas Djakouris
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
09/06 Sebastian Bielen
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
06/06 David Duong
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
04/06 Lathan Skrobarcek
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
04/06 Niels Hoffmann
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
03/06 Rohan Sachdev
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
01/06 Matei Gavrea
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
14/12 Felix Roussel
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
0-2 10-13 L

Pavel Bushuev

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/07 Marshall Landry
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 18-16 W
04/07 Liam Spiers
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
03/07 Christopher Rodi
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
02/07 Maciej Rajski
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 14-13 L
01/07 Noble Renfrow
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 16-18 W
28/06 Cassius Chinlund
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
27/06 JP Day
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
26/06 Andrew Li
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 18-11 W
25/06 Xavier Calvelo
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
24/06 George Hakopian
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Benjamin Sparks vs Pavel Bushuev?

Our model gives 58% to Benjamin Sparks, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.