Prediction: Ioannis Xilas vs Matthew William Donald
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Matthew William Donald; the market gives 50% to Matthew William Donald (odds 1.83).
Over their last 10 matches, Ioannis Xilas sits at 2-8 (W-L), while Matthew William Donald arrives on a 6-4 run.
| Ioannis Xilas | Matthew William Donald | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthew William Donald (rating 1438 vs 1521).
- Matthew William Donald is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ioannis Xilas 0–1 Matthew William Donald (1).
Statistics
| Ioannis Xilas | Matthew William Donald | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 14% (7) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-11.2 | 10.2-8.5 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 65% |
| Break % | 33.4% | 46.9% |
H2H · Ioannis Xilas 0 – 1 Matthew William Donald (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ioannis Xilas 0–1 Matthew William Donald
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/26 M25 Monastir | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ioannis Xilas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Lasse Poertner M25 Kassel |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Isac Stroemberg M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/07 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/06 | Liam Broady Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 31/05 | Manuel Mazza Challenger Perugia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Cervia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Manuel Mazza M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Michael Geerts Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Matthew William Donald
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Arian Barbic M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 28/06 | Luca Potenza Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/06 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 25/06 | Manuel Plunger M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Daniele Rapagnetta M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 07/06 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Francesco Forti Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ioannis Xilas vs Matthew William Donald?
Our model gives 55% to Matthew William Donald, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.