Tennis · M25 Kassel · 09/07, 10:00
Prediction: Giorgio Tabacco vs Nino Ehrenschneider
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Giorgio Tabacco; the market gives 63% to Giorgio Tabacco (odds 1.50).
Over their last 10 matches, Giorgio Tabacco sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Nino Ehrenschneider arrives on a 7-3 run.
60%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giorgio Tabacco 1541 · Nino Ehrenschneider 1497
| Giorgio Tabacco | Nino Ehrenschneider | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Giorgio Tabacco (rating 1541 vs 1497).
Statistics
| Giorgio Tabacco | Nino Ehrenschneider | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.8 | 12.4-12 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 36.3% | 35.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giorgio Tabacco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Tom Sickenberger M25 Kassel |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 25/06 | Federico Arnaboldi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Flynn Thomas M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 17/06 | Marcello Serafini M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Raffaele Ciurnelli M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/06 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-19 | L |
| 09/06 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Massimo Giunta M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Jay Clarke M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Nino Ehrenschneider
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Daniel Dutra Da Silva M25 Kassel |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Manvydas Balciunas M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 01/07 | Herman Hoeyeraal M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Fons Van Sambeek M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Stan Put M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Moritz Kudernatsch M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 28/05 | Mika Petkovic M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/05 | Michael Bassem Sobhy M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 14/05 | Saveliy Ivanov M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giorgio Tabacco vs Nino Ehrenschneider?
Our model gives 60% to Giorgio Tabacco, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.