Tennis · W15 Rio Claro · 09/07, 15:00
Prediction: Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez vs Chiara Di Genova
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Chiara Di Genova; the market gives 44% to Chiara Di Genova (odds 2.10).
Over their last 10 matches, Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Chiara Di Genova arrives on a 7-3 run.
51%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez 1472 · Chiara Di Genova 1530
| Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez | Chiara Di Genova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chiara Di Genova (rating 1472 vs 1530).
- Chiara Di Genova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez | Chiara Di Genova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-11.4 | 10-7.7 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 56.5% | 58.6% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 65.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Carolina Xavier Laydner W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Diana Marcinkevica W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Briyana Ivanova W15 Madrid |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Neus Torner Sensano W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Elena Molla Pons W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/06 | Lucia Ros Parres W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 27/05 | Sara Dols W15 Oliva · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Kylie Collins W35 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 05/05 | Malwina Rowinska W35 Boca Raton |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/04 | Kailey Evans W35 Boca Raton |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
Chiara Di Genova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Luana Plaza W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Catarina M I Melleiro Junior W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Mariana De Jesus Ribeiro Silveira W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Antonia Rivera W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Valentina Mediorreal Arias W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Natalia Trigosso W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Emily Zornada W15 Luque · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Natalia Trigosso W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/06 | Luiza Fullana W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Mariana Soares W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez vs Chiara Di Genova?
Our model gives 51% to Chiara Di Genova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.