Tennis · W15 Rio Claro · 12/07, 15:30
Prediction: Marjorie Souza vs Oceane Babel
Prediction summary
Winner
Marjorie Souza
Oceane Babel
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Marjorie Souza
7-3 (W-L)
Oceane Babel
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marjorie Souza 1520 · Oceane Babel 1500
| Marjorie Souza | Oceane Babel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Marjorie Souza | Oceane Babel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-9.2 | 10.3-7.5 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 54.1% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marjorie Souza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Luiza Fullana W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Carolina Bohrer Martins W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Nicole Giannini W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso W15 Luque · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Ana Candiotto W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Luiza Fullana W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Jennifer Rosa Dourado W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/06 | Luiza Fullana W15 Brasilia |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
Oceane Babel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/07 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Maria Camila Torres Murcia W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/07 | Beatriz Guerra W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Martina Colmegna W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 10/06 | Federica Sacco W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Jule Niemeier W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Ruien Zhang W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/05 | Enola Chiesa W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Daria Gorska W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marjorie Souza vs Oceane Babel?
Our model gives 61% to Oceane Babel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.