Tennis · W15 Rio Claro · 10/07, 16:00

Prediction: Maria F Herazo Gonzalez vs Oceane Babel

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Maria F Herazo Gonzalez Oceane Babel
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maria F Herazo Gonzalez 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWWLLLW
Oceane Babel 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maria F Herazo Gonzalez 1513 · Oceane Babel 1480
Maria F Herazo GonzalezOceane Babel
Our model55%45%
Market29%71%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Maria F Herazo GonzalezOceane Babel
Win %60%50%
Win % · Clay 50% (6) 38% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.2-0.91.1-1
Games (G-P)9.7-8.39.3-8.8
Aces1.60.6
Double faults3.92
1st serve %61.7%60.4%
Break %41.1%45.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maria F Herazo Gonzalez

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/07 Maria Paulina Perez Garcia
W15 Rio Claro
2-0 12-5 W
08/07 Ana Filipa Santos
W15 Rio Claro
2-1 16-14 W
23/06 Ana Carmen Zamburek
W15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
19/06 Maria Florencia Urrutia
W15 Luque · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
18/06 Mariangel Estrella
W15 Luque · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
16/06 Agustina Soto Neira
W15 Luque · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
11/06 Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay
0-2 4-11 L
10/06 Camila Romero
W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
04/06 Francesca Mattioli
W15 Brasilia
0-2 4-12 L
03/06 Agustina Soto Neira
W15 Brasilia
2-0 12-2 W

Oceane Babel

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/07 Maria Camila Torres Murcia
W15 Rio Claro
2-0 12-1 W
08/07 Beatriz Guerra
W15 Rio Claro
2-0 13-8 W
17/06 Martina Colmegna
W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay
1-2 11-17 L
10/06 Federica Sacco
W35 Casablanca · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
27/05 Jule Niemeier
W35 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
26/05 Ruien Zhang
W35 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
20/05 Enola Chiesa
W35 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
19/05 Daria Gorska
W35 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
08/05 Iva Primorac Pavicic
W15 Reichstett · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
07/05 Jenny Duerst
W15 Reichstett · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maria F Herazo Gonzalez vs Oceane Babel?

Our model gives 59% to Oceane Babel, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.