Tennis · W15 Rio Claro · 09/07, 16:30
Prediction: Luiza Fullana vs Laura Badia
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Luiza Fullana; the market gives 84% to Luiza Fullana (odds 1.11).
Over their last 10 matches, Luiza Fullana sits at 9-1 (W-L), while Laura Badia arrives on a 5-5 run.
72%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luiza Fullana 1573 · Laura Badia 1525
| Luiza Fullana | Laura Badia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luiza Fullana (rating 1573 vs 1525).
- Head-to-head: Luiza Fullana 1–0 Laura Badia (1).
Statistics
| Luiza Fullana | Laura Badia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.1-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-7.4 | 9.1-8.1 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 0 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.5% | 56.7% |
| Break % | 53.4% | 51% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Luiza Fullana 1 – 0 Laura Badia (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Luiza Fullana 1–0 Laura Badia
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/25 ITF W35 Chacabuco | 2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luiza Fullana
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Josefina Estevez W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Carolina Alves W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Marjorie Souza W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 11/06 | Chiara Di Genova W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | Marjorie Souza W15 Brasilia |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/06 | Camila Romero W15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/06 | Maria Camila Torres Murcia W15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/06 | Maria Luisa Oliveira W15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/06 | Gabriella Price W15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/05 | Annika Penickova W35 Boca Raton |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
Laura Badia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Bruna Melato W15 Rio Claro |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Gabriella Mikaul W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Luana Avelar W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Noelia Zeballos W15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Rebeca Pereira W15 Brasilia |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/03 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva W15 Santiago |
0-2 | 5-8 | L |
| 24/03 | Pilar Beveraggi Lespiau W15 Santiago |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/03 | Florencia Massardo Brain W15 Santiago |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/03 | Marie Vogt W15 Santiago |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luiza Fullana vs Laura Badia?
Our model gives 72% to Luiza Fullana, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.