Tennis · M15 Monastir · 09/07, 12:00
Prediction: Volodymyr Iakubenko vs Logan Zapp
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Logan Zapp; the market gives 61% to Volodymyr Iakubenko (odds 1.53).
Over their last 10 matches, Volodymyr Iakubenko sits at 3-7 (W-L), while Logan Zapp arrives on a 6-4 run.
51%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Volodymyr Iakubenko 1505 · Logan Zapp 1582
| Volodymyr Iakubenko | Logan Zapp | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Logan Zapp (rating 1505 vs 1582).
- Logan Zapp is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Volodymyr Iakubenko makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Volodymyr Iakubenko | Logan Zapp | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-12.1 | 11.9-8.3 |
| Aces | 7 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 36.4% | 55.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Volodymyr Iakubenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 19/06 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 18/06 | Matas Vasiliauskas M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Amir Milushev M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Daniel Phillips M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 17/05 | Naoya Honda Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/05 | Alastair Gray Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 10/05 | Aryan Lakshmanan Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 22/04 | Dimitris Azoidis M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Logan Zapp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Ruslan Serazhetdinov M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Roger Pascual Ferra M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Rayen Hermassi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Alexis Berquier M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Ludovico Vaccari M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 17/01 | Roan Jones UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/01 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/01 | Blake Hilsen UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/01 | Justas Trainauskas UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Volodymyr Iakubenko vs Logan Zapp?
Our model gives 51% to Volodymyr Iakubenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.