Tennis · W15 Rio Claro · 09/07, 15:00

Prediction: Maria F Herazo Gonzalez vs Maria Paulina Perez Garcia

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Maria F Herazo Gonzalez; the market gives 75% to Maria F Herazo Gonzalez (odds 1.25).

On recent form, Maria F Herazo Gonzalez is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Maria Paulina Perez Garcia 2-8 over theirs.

69%1
69% 31%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maria F Herazo Gonzalez 1497 · Maria Paulina Perez Garcia 1422
Maria F Herazo GonzalezMaria Paulina Perez Garcia
Our model61%39%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria F Herazo Gonzalez (rating 1497 vs 1422).
  • Maria F Herazo Gonzalez is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Maria F Herazo Gonzalez 2–0 Maria Paulina Perez Garcia (2).
  • Note: Maria F Herazo Gonzalez makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Maria F Herazo GonzalezMaria Paulina Perez Garcia
Win %50%20%
Win % · Clay 43% (7) 0% (4)
Sets (G-P)1-1.10.4-1.6
Games (G-P)9.1-96-10.8
Aces1.50.8
Double faults4.23.2
1st serve %59.4%48.9%
Break %40.7%42.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 18.9

H2H · Maria F Herazo Gonzalez 20 Maria Paulina Perez Garcia (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Maria F Herazo Gonzalez 20 Maria Paulina Perez Garcia

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DateSetsGamesRes.
11/03/26
W35 Huamantla
2-012-1W
01/07/19
ITF W25 Denain
2-012-2W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maria F Herazo Gonzalez

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Ana Filipa Santos
W15 Rio Claro
2-1 16-14 W
23/06 Ana Carmen Zamburek
W15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
19/06 Maria Florencia Urrutia
W15 Luque · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
18/06 Mariangel Estrella
W15 Luque · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
16/06 Agustina Soto Neira
W15 Luque · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
11/06 Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay
0-2 4-11 L
10/06 Camila Romero
W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
04/06 Francesca Mattioli
W15 Brasilia
0-2 4-12 L
03/06 Agustina Soto Neira
W15 Brasilia
2-0 12-2 W
08/04 Bella Payne
W15 Bonita Springs · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Maria Paulina Perez Garcia

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Lourdes Ayala
W15 Rio Claro
2-0 13-5 W
26/05 Enola Chiesa
W35 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
11/03 Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
W35 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
04/03 Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
W15 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
28/10 Yuliana Lizarazo
WTA Cali · Clay
0-2 1-12 L
22/10 Yuliana Lizarazo
ITF W50 Ibague
0-2 10-13 L
14/10 Carolina Alves
WTA Rio De Janeiro · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
09/10 Berta Bonardi
ITF W15 Sao Joao da Boa Vista
0-2 8-12 L
07/10 Catarina M I Melleiro Junior
ITF W15 Sao Joao da Boa Vista
2-0 13-6 W
01/10 Thaisa Grana Pedretti
ITF W35 Sao Paulo · Clay
0-2 2-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maria F Herazo Gonzalez vs Maria Paulina Perez Garcia?

Our model gives 69% to Maria F Herazo Gonzalez, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.