Prediction: Maria F Herazo Gonzalez vs Maria Paulina Perez Garcia
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Maria F Herazo Gonzalez; the market gives 75% to Maria F Herazo Gonzalez (odds 1.25).
On recent form, Maria F Herazo Gonzalez is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Maria Paulina Perez Garcia 2-8 over theirs.
| Maria F Herazo Gonzalez | Maria Paulina Perez Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria F Herazo Gonzalez (rating 1497 vs 1422).
- Maria F Herazo Gonzalez is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Maria F Herazo Gonzalez 2–0 Maria Paulina Perez Garcia (2).
- Note: Maria F Herazo Gonzalez makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Maria F Herazo Gonzalez | Maria Paulina Perez Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 0.4-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-9 | 6-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 48.9% |
| Break % | 40.7% | 42.1% |
H2H · Maria F Herazo Gonzalez 2 – 0 Maria Paulina Perez Garcia (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maria F Herazo Gonzalez 2–0 Maria Paulina Perez Garcia
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 W35 Huamantla | 2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 01/07/19 ITF W25 Denain | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Ana Filipa Santos W15 Rio Claro |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Ana Carmen Zamburek W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W15 Luque · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Mariangel Estrella W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Agustina Soto Neira W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 10/06 | Camila Romero W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/06 | Francesca Mattioli W15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Agustina Soto Neira W15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/04 | Bella Payne W15 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Maria Paulina Perez Garcia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Lourdes Ayala W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Enola Chiesa W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/03 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W35 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 04/03 | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Yuliana Lizarazo WTA Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Yuliana Lizarazo ITF W50 Ibague |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Carolina Alves WTA Rio De Janeiro · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Berta Bonardi ITF W15 Sao Joao da Boa Vista |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Catarina M I Melleiro Junior ITF W15 Sao Joao da Boa Vista |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Thaisa Grana Pedretti ITF W35 Sao Paulo · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria F Herazo Gonzalez vs Maria Paulina Perez Garcia?
Our model gives 69% to Maria F Herazo Gonzalez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

