Tennis · W15 Rio Claro · 09/07, 15:00
Prediction: Julia Konishi Camargo Silva vs Marjorie Souza
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Marjorie Souza; the market gives 65% to Marjorie Souza (odds 1.44).
Recent form leaves Julia Konishi Camargo Silva with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Marjorie Souza has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
59%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julia Konishi Camargo Silva 1493 · Marjorie Souza 1507
| Julia Konishi Camargo Silva | Marjorie Souza | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Marjorie Souza makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Julia Konishi Camargo Silva | Marjorie Souza | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9.4 | 11-8.7 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 59.8% | 56% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julia Konishi Camargo Silva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Jennifer Rosa Dourado W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Sofia Meabe W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Julieta Marcos Cattoni W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 17/06 | Romina Ccuno W15 Luque · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 11/06 | Noelia Zeballos W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Maria Eduarda Carbone dos Santos W15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa W15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/04 | Luisina Giovannini W35 Junin · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Wozuko Mdlulwa W35 Junin · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Marjorie Souza
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Nicole Giannini W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso W15 Luque · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Ana Candiotto W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Luiza Fullana W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Jennifer Rosa Dourado W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/06 | Luiza Fullana W15 Brasilia |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Noelia Zeballos W15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Maria Eduarda Carbone dos Santos W15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/06 | Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe W15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julia Konishi Camargo Silva vs Marjorie Souza?
Our model gives 59% to Marjorie Souza, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.