Tennis · M15 Monastir · 09/07, 10:30
Prediction: Nazim Makhlouf vs Nicolas Robert
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Nazim Makhlouf; the market gives 41% to Nazim Makhlouf (odds 2.25).
On recent form, Nazim Makhlouf is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Nicolas Robert 5-5 over theirs.
50%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nazim Makhlouf 1515 · Nicolas Robert 1444
| Nazim Makhlouf | Nicolas Robert | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nazim Makhlouf (rating 1515 vs 1444).
- Note: Nicolas Robert makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Nazim Makhlouf | Nicolas Robert | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.7 | 10.2-11.4 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 59.8% | 61.6% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nazim Makhlouf
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Yassine Smiej M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Roger Pascual Ferra M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Dominick Mosejczuk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Chirag Duhan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Benjamin Willwerth M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Matthew Rankin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/06 | Michael Bassem Sobhy M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/05 | Darsh Agarwal M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-1 | W |
Nicolas Robert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Jonas Eriksson Ziverts M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Louay Makke M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Yoshka Sborowsky M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Daniel De Jonge M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Conor Gannon M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 23/04 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Marko Retelj M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/04 | Petr Nesterov M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nazim Makhlouf vs Nicolas Robert?
Our model gives 50% to Nazim Makhlouf, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.