Prediction: Arevalo/Pavic vs Krawietz/Puetz
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Arevalo/Pavic; the market gives 59% to Arevalo/Pavic (odds 1.57).
Recent form leaves Arevalo/Pavic with 9 wins and 1 losses over 10 games; Krawietz/Puetz has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
| Arevalo/Pavic | Krawietz/Puetz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arevalo/Pavic (rating 1616 vs 1570).
- Arevalo/Pavic dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 45.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Arevalo/Pavic 2–6 Krawietz/Puetz (8).
Statistics
| Arevalo/Pavic | Krawietz/Puetz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 80% |
| Win % · Grass | 100% (8) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.5 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.4-10 | 14.2-12.4 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 80.8% | 77.7% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 39.7% |
H2H · Arevalo/Pavic 2 – 6 Krawietz/Puetz (8)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arevalo/Pavic 2–6 Krawietz/Puetz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 ATP Monte Carlo MD | 1-2 | 16-20 | L |
| 17/11/24 ATP World Tour Finals MD | 0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/11/24 ATP World Tour Finals MD | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/09/24 US Open MD | 1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/08/24 ATP Montreal MD | 2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 03/06/24 French Open MD | 2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 12/03/24 ATP Indian Wells MD | 1-2 | 16-21 | L |
| 21/01/24 Australian Open MD | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arevalo/Pavic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Cash/Glasspool Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Rojer/Winegar Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 03/07 | Stevenson/Willis Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Bublik/Kyrgios Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Heliovaara/Patten ATP Queens MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Cash/Glasspool ATP Queens MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Bhambri/Venus ATP Queens MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Ram/Salisbury ATP Queens MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Arends/Pel French Open MD · Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 30/05 | Galloway/Peers French Open MD · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Krawietz/Puetz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Doumbia/Reboul Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/07 | Cabral/Miedler Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Burruchaga/Tirante Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 01/07 | Escobar/Stalder Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Galloway/Peers ATP Halle MD · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/06 | Balaji/Demoliner French Open MD · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Burruchaga/Tirante French Open MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Golubev/Nedovyesov French Open MD · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 23/05 | Doumbia/Reboul ATP Hamburg MD · Clay |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 21/05 | Erler/Miedler ATP Hamburg MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arevalo/Pavic vs Krawietz/Puetz?
Our model gives 58% to Arevalo/Pavic, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.