Tennis · Wimbledon MD · 06/07, 12:00
Prediction: Bolelli/Vavassori vs Krajicek/Mektic
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Bolelli/Vavassori; the market gives 69% to Bolelli/Vavassori (odds 1.36).
Over their last 10 matches, Bolelli/Vavassori sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Krajicek/Mektic arrives on a 8-2 run.
65%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bolelli/Vavassori 1573 · Krajicek/Mektic 1503
| Bolelli/Vavassori | Krajicek/Mektic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bolelli/Vavassori (rating 1573 vs 1503).
- Bolelli/Vavassori is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Bolelli/Vavassori | Krajicek/Mektic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.4-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-10.6 | 16.5-16.5 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 79.4% | 76.7% |
| Break % | 57.9% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bolelli/Vavassori
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | De Jong/Royer Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Jones/Paris Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Granollers/Zeballos French Open MD · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Nouza/Oberleitner French Open MD · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 31/05 | Paul/Willis French Open MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/05 | Bhambri/Venus French Open MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/05 | Duckworth/Trungelliti French Open MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/05 | Doumbia/Reboul ATP Hamburg MD · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/05 | Granollers/Zeballos ATP Rome MD · Clay |
2-1 | 23-16 | W |
| 16/05 | Harrison/Skupski ATP Rome MD · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
Krajicek/Mektic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Liutarevich/Reyes-Varela Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 01/07 | Melo/Molteni Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Balaji/Demoliner ATP Mallorca MD · Grass |
1-2 | 23-24 | L |
| 17/06 | Harrison/Skupski ATP Queens MD · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Arends/Pel French Open MD · Clay |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 26/05 | Mannarino/Martin French Open MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/05 | Kirkov/Stevens ATP Geneva MD · Clay |
1-2 | 22-24 | L |
| 16/05 | Granollers/Zeballos ATP Rome MD · Clay |
1-2 | 14-23 | L |
| 14/05 | Erler/Miedler ATP Rome MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/05 | Cash/Tracy ATP Rome MD · Clay |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bolelli/Vavassori vs Krajicek/Mektic?
Our model gives 65% to Bolelli/Vavassori, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.