Tennis · M15 Hillcrest · 09/07, 10:00

Prediction: James Beaven vs Kris Van Wyk

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to James Beaven; the market gives 61% to James Beaven (odds 1.53).

On recent form, James Beaven is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Kris Van Wyk 4-6 over theirs.

58%1
58% 42%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · James Beaven 1516 · Kris Van Wyk 1491
James BeavenKris Van Wyk
Our model54%46%
Market61%39%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Kris Van Wyk makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

James BeavenKris Van Wyk
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 56% (9) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)1-1.10.9-1.3
Games (G-P)9.3-8.89.3-10.9
Aces2.52.7
Double faults2.64.1
1st serve %70.7%66%
Break %61.9%50.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

James Beaven

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 James Hart
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
06/07 Andreas Scott
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-1 13-11 W
02/07 Khololwam Montsi
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
01/07 Dylan Salton
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
10/06 Tom Zeuch
M15 Vaasa · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
31/05 Charles Broom
Challenger Birmingham · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
08/05 Romain Faucon
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
07/05 James Weber
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
05/05 Stefan Vujic
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
01/05 Tuncay Duran
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
0-2 8-11 L

Kris Van Wyk

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Giulio Perego
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
03/07 Khololwam Montsi
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
02/07 Luc Koenig
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 13-5 W
30/06 Gray Voelzke
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-1 18-14 W
01/06 Tuncay Duran
Challenger Centurion · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
31/05 Simphiwe Ngwenya
Challenger Centurion Qual · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
24/05 Luc Koenig
Challenger Centurion · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
22/04 Amr Asrawy
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
15/04 Karan Singh
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
08/04 Grigory Shebekin
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
1-2 14-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in James Beaven vs Kris Van Wyk?

Our model gives 58% to James Beaven, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.