Tennis · M15 Hillcrest · 10/07, 10:00
Prediction: Zsombor Velcz vs Khololwam Montsi
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 64% to Khololwam Montsi; the market gives 73% to Khololwam Montsi (odds 1.28).
Recent form leaves Zsombor Velcz with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Khololwam Montsi has piled up 10-0 in the same span.
69%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zsombor Velcz 1525 · Khololwam Montsi 1623
| Zsombor Velcz | Khololwam Montsi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Khololwam Montsi (rating 1525 vs 1623).
- Khololwam Montsi is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Zsombor Velcz | Khololwam Montsi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.9-0.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-9.7 | 12.4-6.8 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 0.4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 36.7% | 48.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zsombor Velcz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Jordan Hasson M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Romain Faucon M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Henry Jefferson M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Maximus Dussault M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 11/06 | Ozan Baris M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Dan Martin M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Ilija Palavestra M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/11 | Aidan Mchugh ITF M25 Harlingen · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 31/10 | Gabi Adrian Boitan ITF M25 Harlingen · Hard |
1-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 30/10 | Oskar Grzegorzewski ITF M25 Harlingen · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Khololwam Montsi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Devin Badenhorst M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Pavlos Christoforakis M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Devin Badenhorst M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Henry Jefferson M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Kris Van Wyk M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | James Beaven M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Filip Peliwo M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/06 | Arda Azkara Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zsombor Velcz vs Khololwam Montsi?
Our model gives 69% to Khololwam Montsi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.